Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, anyhow?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as wages event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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