Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Prevails the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that must be your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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